Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 2061.452536 2248.762787 2440.332998 2650.626933 2874.698057 3106.022521 3362.596486
2024-10-06 1795.221002 2074.588357 2372.748470 2713.513916 3091.029818 3495.299730 3959.775259
2024-10-13 1596.127251 1927.118323 2291.862757 2721.273747 3210.548869 3748.248031 4381.342651
2024-10-20 1445.221489 1811.401574 2225.991774 2726.277423 3309.579186 3964.163541 4750.078738
2024-10-27 1270.591186 1650.756946 2092.417723 2637.856453 3287.505531 4030.633938 4938.763222
2024-11-03 1214.432399 1624.324962 2110.479892 2721.998463 3462.627414 4322.501963 5387.668098
2024-11-10 1149.705515 1581.133497 2103.001050 2770.882754 3592.464372 4559.492291 5772.390343
2024-11-17 1068.717712 1511.288683 2057.223485 2767.897085 3655.494221 4714.171770 6057.980541
2024-11-24 984.072045 1430.851894 1992.789893 2736.618211 3679.446398 4818.481004 6280.931469
2024-12-01 933.627524 1391.531265 1977.439519 2764.426721 3774.835236 5009.048746 6609.310205
2024-12-08 876.483086 1339.519449 1942.328995 2763.920863 3832.230323 5151.389146 6878.246872
2024-12-15 845.081362 1320.379012 1948.599908 2815.754252 3955.720337 5376.499226 7251.630616
2024-12-22 790.328260 1266.732833 1907.468016 2804.757854 3999.024396 5503.090020 7506.330447
2024-12-29 767.000314 1256.125176 1923.655519 2869.783931 4142.009542 5758.063928 7926.584050
2025-01-05 725.896684 1217.405451 1899.032170 2877.873070 4208.731715 5914.929247 8222.762504
2025-01-12 687.032405 1179.641347 1873.655031 2883.098084 4270.359836 6064.741432 8510.506423
2025-01-19 620.460758 1096.612610 1780.504640 2790.746224 4197.127565 6035.664490 8564.532430
2025-01-26 613.151914 1103.387535 1815.962970 2878.629568 4369.676737 6331.495730 9044.812498
2025-02-02 595.534161 1093.062669 1825.725138 2929.675311 4491.856275 6561.550708 9440.970243
2025-02-09 563.822023 1058.751893 1798.590625 2926.557880 4538.182452 6690.151900 9703.938034
2025-02-16 526.289354 1012.996721 1752.371827 2893.896661 4541.656897 6760.121598 9888.748406
2025-02-23 507.122072 996.132818 1748.865612 2922.934323 4631.710710 6947.628611 10231.935055
2025-03-02 481.723993 967.510897 1726.090378 2922.406131 4679.076275 7076.862768 10497.535815